We've Got 6 Years...

My job as a macro analyst and entrepreneur is to live in the future and assess how the world might look, and a probabilistic path to get there.

In the next 6 years, I believe we will see Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) models accelerating in power and collapsing in costs. We will hit a golden age of technology productivity, where infinite knowledge workers (AIs…!) enter the economy.

What does an economy even look like in that world? What is GDP?

What if someone trains AGI on global markets? They theoretically will capture ALL the value.

What if everyone begins using AGI models to build businesses? The velocity of business formation — and destruction — will be unprecedented. So long VC investing, farewell PE investing.

How do “normal” businesses survive in this world? They can’t.

It is all totally f*cked.

Which is what I was talking about on the Real Vision Daily Briefing yesterday, along with David Mattin and Imran Lakha, which you can watch right here:

Cheery viewing for a Friday, eh?

Regardless of cheer-factor, I hope you find it valuable.

And if you want go deeper with us, The Exponentialist (which is me, David, Imran, and Julien) is offering a trial for the first time ever — only available through May 10.

The rocket ship has a life raft… you can jump in here.

Have a great weekend.

Raoul